#1. EAX has also Said in the HWO that Strong Long Lived Tornadoes are a Potential Tomorrow night. The accual quote being “THERE IS ALSO THE POSSIBILITY FOR 
STRONG…LONG-TRACK TORNADOES TO OCCUR. THE MOST INTENSE ACTIVITY IS 
EXPECTED TO OCCUR ALONG AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 70 AND ALONG AND 
WEST OF HIGHWAY 65 IN MISSOURI.” 

Most of the Models pick this up as well as Helicaty has been off the charts of the 0-1 and 0-3 levels meaning that the supercells that ignite in South Central Kansas will move north and be able to maintain rotation for a long peroid of time. 

#2. While the Moderate Risk edge is from a Paola to just north of Manhattan to just south of Norman Oklahoma, Model trends are showing that the Upper Low and Warm front are suppose to be north of Kansas City by around 03Z timeframe. This will allow us to warm up into the upper 60s low 70s if it turns out to be true. Also, Wind Shear is also a big deal concerning how strong it is around the 06Z Timeframe at around 70 as shown here on this link. 

http://www.twisterdata.com/ind…..hive=false

If this shear is expected, then Damaging winds are basically expected in any storm and could reach higher than 80MPH in some of the stronger storms. On Wednesday something similar could happen but that is still 4 days away and is subject to change.