MY THOUGHTS ON THE PATTERN OVER THE NEXT 3 MONTHS (OND)

Posted By: FatherFrost  Posted On: Sep 27th, 2010  Filed Under: Weather

Here are the maps for what I expect for the 3 months of October, November, and December heading from Fall into early Winter:

October:

November:

December:

Now, onto my thoughts…

 

Next week is the first full week of October. We are now in the throws of cooler weather that will last the rest of this week and all of next week as well. Then there is another cool spell hot on it's heels where places as far south as where I am located have a CHANCE at seeing their first LIGHT frost. This is a developing situation so I will keep monitoring it. Needless to say, the rain the east coast is getting has and will continue to provide a huge death blow to the current drought. We can also safely say that ALL hot weather is completely done for the rest of the year. Now that's something to celebrate! :) The pattern that I see developing will be a wetter pattern and one that will lead to the eastern half of the nation as well as the central, northern, and northwestern areas growing colder over time. We will have a warmer day here and there but nothing terrible. This pattern unfortunately does mean that this October could be a big time month for tropical activity and the US could be under the gun a lot. We will also see more and more troughs swinging through and we may start seeing the typical pattern of Autumn Nor'Easters begin soon. By late Fall from the PNW and Rockies eastward things are turning cold and active. The Rockies ski season and the LES Machine will both get started quickly. The eastern US could also be in for some early snows as well. (For VA, November 2008 repeat?)…This will result too in widespread frosts and freezes stretching rather deep into the southern tier. Along the Deep South, Gulf Coast, and deep S. Plains, Severe Wx Outbreaks could be a problem. By early winter (DEC) a huge chunk of the nation will be turning rather cold and the PNW, Rockies, N. Plains, Lakes, and N. New England become rather stormy. Areas farther south (Mid-Atl, Central and S. Plains, Upper South, Apps) could also see a good bit of snow and could end up AN for the month. Unfortunately, the aforementioned areas will also see the risk of Ice Storms begin to increase dramatically. But anyway, hope y'all enjoy a cold holiday season because it looks like you're gonna get it! :)

  1. Grandin says:

    TheMaineMan said:

    Dan, I like you as a forummer but I am not sure what your issue is. FatherFrost did not accuse you of anything, he simply asked if you were a particular person on accuweather, because many of us have accounts at both sites with different usernames. Big deal. Then he missed your question because he probably doesn't have all day to read each post extremely carefully. Once again, big deal. I personally think you're making a fight out of nothing.

    Anyways, on topic, Fathefrost I once again admire your mapwork. Although I generally still agree, I think you are a little too cool in the south… I'd bring average temperatures up into the mid-Atlantic, and everything south of North Carolina I would have as “above average” except for perhaps the 2nd half of November and December… but it's very uncertain at this point and anything can happen. Your outlook has a great chance at verifying. :)


    got is square now maineman im sorry i started something. i should have given garret more time to answer. im sorry. and i like you as a fourrmer as well u are a cool guy.

    Dan

  2. wjp2011111 says:

    You do realize whats going on now is a simple pattern inversion, and will die off in 20-25 days, right?  Good Mapwork.

    Either way, I'm lost as to where you're thoughts basis resides.  That may be my lack of comprehension, but, whatev floats ur boat dude.

    Best of luck with this outlook

  3. romanian says:

    wjp2011111 said:

    You do realize whats going on now is a simple pattern inversion, and will die off in 20-25 days, right?  Good Mapwork.

    Either way, I'm lost as to where you're thoughts basis resides.  That may be my lack of comprehension, but, whatev floats ur boat dude.

    Best of luck with this outlook


    It will last until January and the whole winter. Only N.C and north will be cold all winter.

  4. FatherFrost says:

    wjp2011111 said:

    You do realize whats going on now is a simple pattern inversion, and will die off in 20-25 days, right?  Good Mapwork.

    Either way, I'm lost as to where you're thoughts basis resides.  That may be my lack of comprehension, but, whatev floats ur boat dude.

    Best of luck with this outlook


    You, yourself said that early winter would be quite cold. Therefore you are partially in agreement with me, no? And until I see solid proof that things are going to go hot again in 20-25 days I will be sticking to my guns. For now, there are 2 more cold spells in the works on top of this one and a soggy pattern to go with it.

  5. snowlover says:

    Ooooooooooh Weeeeeeeeee!  I love your map!  Looks good to me!  I know absolutly nothing about forecasting; but I'm a wishcasting geek:)  Like it's been said over a thousand times on here….we'll have to wait and see!  FatherFrost you sure made my day a bit brighter.  Glad to get some rain here in Virginia.  Tomorrow (9/30) should be interesting!  Stay dry!

  6. The Rickster says:

    I like the map too. It'll be cool to walk outside on break at work, bundled up. yeah buddy. Good times.

  7. Grandin says:

    Garret allways has the best outlook maps i think. clear and detail easy to understand.

    Dan

You must be signed in to join the discussion. Sign in ยป