This is what I expect for November and December temperature wise. Below normal temperatures will cover a large part of the U.S. mainly from the rockies eastward. The southeast will be in the core of the coldest anomalies(look similar to last year?). Below is the favored analogs I'm using.
Using the 5 high impact hurricane years combined with the state of the upper motion comparing them to the long term average areas roughly from the plains eastward experienced a cold November-December period. The forecast above is a blend of these analogs, the CFS(the reason I'm using the CFS because it matches the analogs and the current trends), and a few other climatic drivers. I anticipate blocking to temporarily develop for the first part of winter with height rises across Alaska. This is a favorable pattern to drive some pretty cold air into the southern and eastern U.S.
I approve, one hundred percent!!!
You bring up an interesting point, and my buddy Joe wants to test this theory out.
My only concern…. I'd take 1995 out of there. The La Nina was weak with a positive PDO and a -AMO
Kudos on the creative thinking dude!
I can't view the second picture??
Use Imageshack on the second one. NOAA PSD maps are deleted between several minutes and a few hours after you generate them.
Also, any chance you could move the “Much Below Average” part a little farther west? Just 50 miles or so would be good.
I like it!! I too can't see the second map, but the first one looks good. I hope that with the cold temperatures comes snow
. I guess after January there will be a switch-a-roo:( Oh well…..
Sorry about that guys, it was an active image link and it must've been deleted. I saved it to photobucket and it should be permanent now. Basically this is a set of favored analogs that include the 4 high impact analog years that were also stout La Nina periods.
lol we are still below normal:P Oklahoma temperatures will average 1-3F degrees below normal during the Nov-Dec period.
Romanian: Take a look at this map, I think the Wintry Battle Zone should be puished all the way into N.C, the jet stream's path will go and the SE, ridge will be supressed by it.
God bless you!
“Romanian: Take a look at this map, I think the Wintry Battle Zone should be puished all the way into N.C, the jet stream's path will go and the SE, ridge will be supressed by it.”
Battle zone (in most people's forecasts) should be moved south to have its southern border near the OK-TX border (Red River). Agreed about the NC thing, especially early and late in the season (January may not be quite as bad as many think it to be either).
I think places like N.C and west towards California and north will survive and have a full cold winter, God blees!
lol romanian u are obsead with this having a cold and snowy winter arent you man? U allways ask the same question over an over and tell ya the same answer. You live to far in the southeast to get something all winter long. I'll agree your temps for novermber and some of december will be below avg. But dont get all excited cause at the end of december your part of the country will fall into a warm faze and have a slushy icey end to winter. I'm telling ya man if u can wait for one more year i promise u that u will have a big time cold and snowy winter u have my word on that. But this year it may seem to start off cold but it's only gonna last a month than get warm at the end of december. But i do like your passion for the weather and i like how u believe. Your a cool guy i respect cha for it.
Dan
I am confident that Jesus will make this winter be cold I prayed to Him, He is the one who has the whole world in His hands and no one can stop Him, He controls it all and listens to His childrens prayers.
God bless!
Based on the width and order of the caterpillar's black and brown stripes, Jack's forecast for the coming winter (starting with the winter solstice on December 21) says there will be cold and snow through the holidays and on into late January. There will be a bit of a warming trend in the last week of January and first week of February with a chance for ice. February will continue cold, becoming extremely cold in March. The weeks leading to the spring equinox on March 20 will see the winter close with lots of snow.
well i hope your prayers are answered and by the way weather is from mother nature god doesnt del in weather he deals with human and animals and all that good stuff. not the weather.. And god doesnt answer all prayers chief trust me iver prayed before and he did nothing for me. me and god dont see eye to eye though so it's all gravy..
Dan
Romanian: I saw a drk red wooly worm and a black at tip what does it mean?
Never heard of a “red” woolybear.
But I did see a Praying Mantis yesterday… HIGHLY unusual. Anybody have any thoughts about seeing one after a freeze and several frosts, plus at the end of October to boot?!?! I'm puzzled.
well, Plowman, by some chance was he wearing a little knit cap, coat and boots ???? LOL… Maybe he learn how to build a fire at night ??? LOL Just kidding, that is really weird but then alot of weird things are happening worldwide. Maybe it's the global cooling that has started, throwing things out of wack. My cherry and apple trees bloomed again, poor things are conflused.
I wondered the same thing spell. LOL Definitely out of whack is the phrase!!!
FROM NORTH CAROLINA UP NORTH PEOPLE SHOULD BE READY AND STOCKED UP FOR A COLD AND SEVERE WINTER!
GOD BLESS!