An important post he made recently:
“Here's what concerns me. The weather pattern this October is not what I expected to see and that has implications for the winter forecast. Typically, the pattern in October tends to telegraph the winter pattern. So if you take the current pattern and extrapolate that forward, one would think that the snowy areas are going to be in two areas. One area in the East where storms hit the coast and explode and the other is the Midwest. I am not saying this will happen; it's just a concern I have right now. Let me say one thing. I think in all the winter forecasts being issued, we are assuming the typical La Nina pattern, but the pattern has not been behaving like the typically La Nina pattern. Southern California has had more rain then ever, extreme storms are hitting the Upper Midwest and next week and we have a major coastal storm developing and record heat running around the country. These are all things that one would not find in the typical La Nina pattern. So I think over the next couple of weeks, I am really going to take a look at things and may have to make an major update to the winter forecast.”
Thoughts on that? He seems to be expecting what most people aren't for this winter.
N.C is in sotre for a colder than normal winter, why?
Well here are some signs that point strictly to a cold and harsh winter for western N.C (foothills, mountains).
God bless you!
romanian, Im sorry but all the signs and most of the weather forecasts are calling for a warm winter for your area.
You have to have a blowtorch every now and then to really appreciate the cold, snowy winters.
Perhaps if thing go as many are predicting your area will get winters not seen since the Pilgrims landed on our shores near the end of this decade.
God Bless.
I feel for the poor guy, but I'm totally agree with you. The constant repetition is beginning to wear on me.
I'm honestly beginning to think he's a Used Car Salesperson… LOL
But then again… maybe he's using the “If you build it, they will come” theory only “If you say it enough, it will happen”??
lol plowman.
Dan
Henry Margusity
Heavy Storms across the Southeast Oct 28, 2010; 9:51 AM ET
I know a lot of you are scratching your heads yesterday based on my comments about the winter forecast. So let me explain a couple of things.
1. I am not making changes to the forecast just yet, I am just looking at some things that are concerning me in regards to the initial reasoning of the forecast.
2. If the concerns I expressed yesterday are correct, yes, it would be a worse winter in the East and not as bad in the Northwest as predicted. It would also mean a change to the snow amounts. Yes, more snow in many places..
3. When would I make a change? Probably in the next two weeks or so if we continue to see the pattern going in the direction it seems to be going.
I hope that answers all your questions….
Got this from a local meteorologist blog..
http://www.examiner.com/weathe…..07676#main
As if someone from Accuweather wasn't enough, now Dante from Weather Advance is having to rethink as well after reading what Margusity posted:
http://www.weatheradvance.com/…..mment-9678