An important post he made recently:
“Here's what concerns me. The weather pattern this October is not what I expected to see and that has implications for the winter forecast. Typically, the pattern in October tends to telegraph the winter pattern. So if you take the current pattern and extrapolate that forward, one would think that the snowy areas are going to be in two areas. One area in the East where storms hit the coast and explode and the other is the Midwest. I am not saying this will happen; it's just a concern I have right now. Let me say one thing. I think in all the winter forecasts being issued, we are assuming the typical La Nina pattern, but the pattern has not been behaving like the typically La Nina pattern. Southern California has had more rain then ever, extreme storms are hitting the Upper Midwest and next week and we have a major coastal storm developing and record heat running around the country. These are all things that one would not find in the typical La Nina pattern. So I think over the next couple of weeks, I am really going to take a look at things and may have to make an major update to the winter forecast.”
Thoughts on that? He seems to be expecting what most people aren't for this winter.