As I sit here in the warmth of our public library it is 49 degrees outside. In this part of VA that is only 2 degrees above the average high temperature for JANUARY! Obviously there is excitement in the air over the coming cold spell and both the GFS and the Euro are in agreement.
Before we get there though, we have to make it through the warmer 75% of next week.
In the east temperatures this weekend will range from the 80's in florida to the 30's and 40's in New England. Frost and freezes are likely up north with clear, balmy conditions down south. This is due to the current setup. While we have a negative NAO, there is a negative PNA.
This causes the cold stay bottled up in the north and west. This pattern will persist through mid-week. By wednesday and early thursday, a GLC will push through the midwest and bring in MUCH, MUCH colder air behind it. In fact, on Thanksgiving it may start out warm but by the afternoon and evening it will be rather chilly. The following weekend and into the great beyond of December a -NAO and -AO pattern should persist. The PNA will be a bit of a wild card but overall December looks cold and …eventful. It looks fairly similar, as Phil said, to last December exept there should be more moisture around. And yes, I will go out on a limb and say that I think I stand a very good chance at seeing accumulating snow this December IF the majority of forecast verify…which, I think they will.
That's all folks!