So far this Met Winter we have recieved a little over 50% of average snowfall in most areas of SE Va. The storm this weekend IF it trends closer to the coast (which I have a feeling it just might) could bring us close to or at avg. snowfall (10″). Then there are 2 Clipper systems in the works. One for Tuesday of next week. The other for Christmas Eve/Day. So if everything goes well, much of Central and Southern VA and Central and Northeastern NC could see their average snowfall before the month is out.
The current cold pattern looks to persist through the New Year. It will weaken some by the week after Christmas but it will still be rather cold compared to normal. (40's v. mid 50's)…
By the 2nd to 3rd week in January I expect the block to begin rapidly breaking down and more milder weather to take over. This pattern will last into late February. By then the pattern could re-establish itself as the La Nina will begin rapid break-down leading to a cold, active March.
Heading into Spring I think it will be wet with late season cold snaps not out of the question. When it does get going good I think we will see an extended Spring due to a cooler and wetter Summer.
Below you will see my very PRELIMINARY Spring Wx Pattern Map:
Certainly interesting to think about the potential spring pattern at this point. I must say that I don't have a clue yet, but I'm hoping that spring doesn't come too early this year… it came at the end of February last year which is a bit too early for my liking.
Even after January, I wouldn't be surprised if you get at least a couple more inches of snow.
Do you think maybe a bigger snow event in March ??? I think that ur right about spring, I think it will be slower coming. The Milder weather in January – late Feb will there still be snow events ? Great forecast and map, by the way.
I do think there could be a larger coastal storm at the last minute in March before Spring weather makes it's first attempt to move in.
Similar to the I-95 storm of March 2009.
And yes there will still be cold shots and snows in January and February but they will be rather sparse. March could be a weaker version of this month. And thanks.
FEB definitely looks like a warm month.
Fine by me. Lol. Like I've said on my FB Wall,
If it keeps snowing almost every other day by the time January gets here, I'll be ready for green grass and trees, flowers, rain, animals, and springtime!
FatherFrost,
I don't think you'd enjoy living up here too much… you'd get your cold and snow in the winter, but then you wouldn't see green grass and flowers until mid April or early May some years. The trees wouldn't go green until late April / early May.
I hesitate to predict February for my region this far out. Remember how someone (cough wjp cough) kept calling for a cold February in Maine last year, and how we ended up with our second warmest February on record, and our second least snowy February on record? (That one inch of snow we got on the last day of the month saved it from being our least snowiest). I'm still trying to figure out January, right now the Euro keeps my region cold (not downright frigid, but colder than normal) through at least the middle of January.
I am wondering if I will get any big arctic blasts this winter, where temps plummet to -10 or -20F for at least a few days straight. Didn't get that at all last winter, in fact the only recent winters that provided this to me were 2008-2009 and 2004-2005 (that was the last REALLY cold winter I remember, the kind where you go outside and hear tree trunks and branches contracting as they freeze all the way through.)
( cough, LOL, cough) ya killing me !! LOL
Kool forecast Garret i agree. And i like the map dude. Good job..
Dan