Well i sure hope your wrong about South Carolina.Boy you people sure love to post the worst/shittiest forecasts for Sc.lol
The main thing I disagree with is having it so warm. The way the oscillations are lining up, the ridging will most likely be centered in the SW NOT the SE. Also, based on the way things are going and analogues that match this year closely the snowfall forecast is too dry east of the divide. Not trying to be crass, just stating scientific fact here.
This is based mostly off NOAA’s outlook
The models can also change at anytime so on any forecast you have to give or take this is why I have EC on the areas in white.
If it’s based mostly off of NOAA’s outlook then you should mention that. It would be helpful. And indeed, it does match their atypical La Nina climo forecast quite well.
Yeah, I respectfully disagree. This is very by the book west based Nina and this appears to be setting up as more of a basin wide/slight east bias event . . . not to mention what FF already mentioned.
Also a word of advice about NOAA, they have an extreme warm bias to try and pump up there global warming thoughts. So take them with a giant grain of salt.
Ah ok well thanks. So what are you guys thinking for this winter and were can I find info to help me out on forecasting better?
Nice outlook sonny. I hope my area comes true. im allways ready for the cold and heavy snows..
Hello. I’d like to know what the weather will be like this winter in Columbia, Missouri which is my location. We have an abundance of acorns on our oak trees. We have more acorns this year than we did last year and we had a blizzard back in February of this year. The 2010/2011 winter was very intense! Is it even possible for this winter to be more intense than the last winter we had?
Hope it’s wrong about S.C. as well. Argh.
noaa might need to make some changes sonny.
please tell me that South Carolina is going to be cold, and icy for the 2011-2012 winter season. PLEASE!!!!!!!!
I think this is actually a very reasonable forecast this far out. I’m not committing to any specific type of La Nina yet, and if it does set up more towards the western side, this could very well happen.
ShawnM-Yes with the way lots of forecast are forecasting yes this winter in Missouri,Illinois and northward could see a much more harsh winter more harsh than last year the way it’s looking the forecast I just posted here was based off of NOAA’s outlook I will make my own In weeks to come
Sonnysnow92-Do you think Missouri could have thunderstorms with frozen precipitation, maybe even thundersnow? In Columbia we had thundersnow back in December 2006 for 4 or 5 hours and we got like 18 inches of snow. When we had the blizzard earlier this year we had around 20 inches of snow and that was without thunder.
how does it snow 18 inches in 4-5hours and that’s it? The part of columbia,sc you live in, do you live in near the mountains or something? Last time over here when we had a sloth of 10-20 inches of snow across our region during christmas/kwanzaa, it took nearly 2 days for this much to pile up. Imagine if it snow like that in your area for 2 days. It would be terrible looking, to the point where it looked like a war-zone! But, I would say yes, it will be may cases of thundersnow, as part of the atmosphere will be warm all winter, but each time prcip falls, over here most of the time it will be cold past the ozone or what ever layer, so mst likely, this will bring tons of wet snow through out the northest, and mid atlantic and eventually the southeast this winter. So, this will be like a warm and cold front combining together, so that there is plenty of thundersnow. This will form long, stormy, snowy, cold conditions.
Technically we had had mixed precipitation first freezing rain then sleet and eventually snow then when it turned to snow it became very heavy along with thunder and lightning. It was a fast moving storm. I live in Columbia, Mo by the way.
Ya it can always be possible
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