Average is better than nothing – but I’m not 100% sure how states near the Great Lakes and Canada, have average snowfall when those states below them are above average. Doesn’t make alot of sense.
Well Ennaedwyn, The great lakes are following previous El-Nino patterns. It all depends on the storm tracks and how cold it will be. But as of now I think that these areas especially will have below avereage snowfall.
There is just one thing that sould be changed in that map, which I believe they did at some point, which is that in Colorado, we tend to see much above normal snowfall during the fall and spring months, but around average to slightly below average during the mid winter doldrums, so it would actually typically pan out as slightly above average to almost just flat above average depending on how far above average the spring and fall are, or if a wild card mid winter hits like in 2006-2007 during December and January.
Bottom line is, during El nino years, most of colorado is slightly above average to above average, on that map they have only half the state being average, and half being below average for the entire season, which is almost unheard of during El Nino, unless this is merely a forecast for DJF alone, then it might be a little believable, since during early January through mid February, the main storm track shifts over primarily Arizona, New Mexico and Texas, being too far south to affect most of Colorado.
I understand what you are saying. I know they will have above average snowfall in the fall and spring but this forecast is only for the winter months so thats why it will be about average for Colorado.
Ok, I understand, and yes, I do agree with it in that case, because unless we get that wild card mid winter, it will likely be near normal, maybe even a little below normal for especially northern extreme colorado, whereas the Raton mesa area along the New Mexico border may get clobbered during mid winter, I live on the Palmer Divide, which is pretty much dead center of the state, so I would guess we would be just about normal depending on just how far south the storm track is during DJF, don’t know though, only time will tell, and that’s also assuming that El Nino in fact even does develop, so far, there hasn’t been any compelling evidence that it is 100% for sure developing at all, as the atmosphere is still in ENSO neuteral conditions, which raises alot of questions and concerns, there are subtle hints out there, just no true conclusive proof that El Nino will come to the rescue of southern and western drought, sad to say, because this is the worst drought I have ever seen in the 20 years that I have lived here, speaking of things getting worse, the Waldo Canyon area saw another fire flare up today, that gives you an idea of how ridiculously dry it is here, bar none, we have desperately needed above normal moisture for years on end.
Well Ennadwyn as of right now i see the mid-west having average snowfall but, it will change down the road i will soon have another update but right now i think that the mid-west is going to have an average winter.
Wow! What a great way to start a hot, humid, Monday morning at work!!! Thanks Weatherforecaster103! I’m in Virginia!!!! They don’t call me snowlover for nothing! I’m gonna change Virginia’s slogan to….. “Virginia is for SNOWLOVERS!!!!!!!!!!!”
so, winter battle zone if i remember correctly is less worse compared to above average snow because i remember this and i would predict weather with those terms
I will take average over what we had in IL last year. Which was a little of nothing it seemed! So when you update your map please don’t decrease the snow chances, or im likely to cry. Thank you
Average is better than nothing – but I’m not 100% sure how states near the Great Lakes and Canada, have average snowfall when those states below them are above average. Doesn’t make alot of sense.
i like what i see.
Well Ennaedwyn, The great lakes are following previous El-Nino patterns. It all depends on the storm tracks and how cold it will be. But as of now I think that these areas especially will have below avereage snowfall.
volatile week ahead stormy pattern for the great lakes basin next week.
Would that put the Mrytle Beach are and areas around it at more snow as im about 15 miles from there?
Actually I think Myrtle Beach is in the Winter Battle Zone
Nice map… do you have any thoughts yet as far as temperature anomalies?
There is just one thing that sould be changed in that map, which I believe they did at some point, which is that in Colorado, we tend to see much above normal snowfall during the fall and spring months, but around average to slightly below average during the mid winter doldrums, so it would actually typically pan out as slightly above average to almost just flat above average depending on how far above average the spring and fall are, or if a wild card mid winter hits like in 2006-2007 during December and January.
Bottom line is, during El nino years, most of colorado is slightly above average to above average, on that map they have only half the state being average, and half being below average for the entire season, which is almost unheard of during El Nino, unless this is merely a forecast for DJF alone, then it might be a little believable, since during early January through mid February, the main storm track shifts over primarily Arizona, New Mexico and Texas, being too far south to affect most of Colorado.
I understand what you are saying. I know they will have above average snowfall in the fall and spring but this forecast is only for the winter months so thats why it will be about average for Colorado.
Ok, I understand, and yes, I do agree with it in that case, because unless we get that wild card mid winter, it will likely be near normal, maybe even a little below normal for especially northern extreme colorado, whereas the Raton mesa area along the New Mexico border may get clobbered during mid winter, I live on the Palmer Divide, which is pretty much dead center of the state, so I would guess we would be just about normal depending on just how far south the storm track is during DJF, don’t know though, only time will tell, and that’s also assuming that El Nino in fact even does develop, so far, there hasn’t been any compelling evidence that it is 100% for sure developing at all, as the atmosphere is still in ENSO neuteral conditions, which raises alot of questions and concerns, there are subtle hints out there, just no true conclusive proof that El Nino will come to the rescue of southern and western drought, sad to say, because this is the worst drought I have ever seen in the 20 years that I have lived here, speaking of things getting worse, the Waldo Canyon area saw another fire flare up today, that gives you an idea of how ridiculously dry it is here, bar none, we have desperately needed above normal moisture for years on end.
is the dark blue the worst? because if that is then it’s accurate what you put, as that region will be included in a cold snowy winter so get ready!
I’m really hoping the mid-west after all this blasted heat (mellllllting) would get above average snowfall.
Yes fatima32 The Dark Blue is where the above average snowfall is.
Well Ennadwyn as of right now i see the mid-west having average snowfall but, it will change down the road i will soon have another update but right now i think that the mid-west is going to have an average winter.
Wow! What a great way to start a hot, humid, Monday morning at work!!! Thanks Weatherforecaster103! I’m in Virginia!!!! They don’t call me snowlover for nothing! I’m gonna change Virginia’s slogan to….. “Virginia is for SNOWLOVERS!!!!!!!!!!!”
Yes, yes, yes! I like this forecast.
so, winter battle zone if i remember correctly is less worse compared to above average snow because i remember this and i would predict weather with those terms
I will take average over what we had in IL last year. Which was a little of nothing it seemed! So when you update your map please don’t decrease the snow chances, or im likely to cry. Thank you
no worries because in actuality, illinois average snowfall if you’re near chicago, that mean lots of snow compared to average snowfall in the south
Curious, will St. Louis metro and surrounding areas have average since St. Louis is literally on the border between MO and IL (I live on the IL side)