I’m making this thread so people who want to, can predict when their first frost, freeze, and snow will be. I just saw Frost and Freeze Warnings in NH, VT, and ME, so I thought it would be a good time to make this thread. This is just for fun, no prizes or anything like that.
Olive Branch, MS:
First Frost - Prediction: November 1st. Actual:
First Freeze – Prediction: November 6th. Actual:
First Trace – Prediction: November 26th. Actual:
First Accumulation - Prediction: December 15th. Actual:
First Snowstorm 1+ - Prediction: January 3rd. Actual:
Central Ohio Predictions:
First Frost Prediction: September 31
First Freeze Prediction: October 24
First Trace Prediction: November 8
First Accumulation Prediction: November 25
First Accumulation 4+ Prediction: December 30
Actual announcements will come when they happen.
South-Central Maine predictions (away from coast):
First Frost Prediction: October 1
First Freeze Prediction: October 14
First Trace Prediction: November 15
First Accumulation Prediction: November 25
First Accumulation 4+ Prediction: December 2
These predictions are based on slightly-earlier-than-normal compared to averages, given I think winter will start and end earlier than normal. Start in November, end in late February.
Richmond, Virginia predicitions:
First Frost Prediction : November 3rd
First Freeze Prediction: November 10
First Trace Prediction: December 14
First Accumulation: December 21
First Accumulation 3+” December 22
lower mi (thumb area)
First Frost- September 29th
First freeze- Oct 16th
First snow trace - Oct 29
First snow- Nov 3rd
First 4+ snow- Nov 15th
This Prediction is made by someone who knows nothing about weather patterns, so consider this a shot in the dark, russian roulette, etc.
This is for the southern most part of Northern NJ. (parallel with NYC)
First Frost: October 29th
First Freeze: November 7th
First Snow Trace: December 4th?
First Snow: December 10th?
First 4+ Snow: January 6th
I’m changing my first frost date to October 12, and my first accumulation to November 19.
I would also like a “redo” i want to make my first frost oct 12th for the thumb of Michigan
Prediction for Northern VA/west of DC
First Frost: October 21stFirst Freeze: Nov. 5thFirst Snow Trace: Nov. 11thFirst Snow: 12/11First 4+ Snow: 12/13
We may get our first frost this Sunday; lows are only going to be 38 in the city, chillier in outlying areas.
I think it has to be 35-ish for frost, so you might be right on the line. I usually see my first frost somewhere between late October and mid November. The FA’s long range forecast says “early season frosts” for October 20-23, so I’m still thinking if I should change mine or not. Last year my first frost was when the NE Halloween blizzard hit, speaking of that storm, it’s kinda sad how the most significant snowstorm of the eastern winter was in October…
Actual first frost: September 20. About two weeks earlier than average.
South-Central Maine predictions (away from coast):
First Frost Prediction: October 1 Actual: September 20.
First Freeze Prediction: October 14
First Trace Prediction: November 15
First Accumulation Prediction: November 25
First Accumulation 4+ Prediction: December 2
We’re under a frost advisory tonight, so that has really boosted my hopes of having our first frost soon.
Frosts could move as far south as Kentucky tonight. Frost Advisories include parts of: Ohio, Indiana, Kentucky and Pennsylvania.
FROST UPDATE: Frost Advisories have moved even further south into Southern and Kentucky and Southern Missouri, including Paducah and Sikeston. About 100 miles north of where I live.
First frost this morning, September 24! Wooo!
Bumping this. A lot of people could see their first frost this weekend/early next week.
Wow I was really close on the first freeze… I predicted October 14 and the actual was October 13.
South-Central Maine predictions (away from coast):
First Frost Prediction: October 1 Actual: September 20.
First Freeze Prediction: October 14 Actual: October 13
First Trace Prediction: November 15
First Accumulation Prediction: November 25
First Accumulation 4+ Prediction: December 2
Wow MaineMan that was close!
I’m still holding on to my predictions so far also. We haven’t had anything yet in the Rich. Va. area. West of us in the mountains have received some snow; but no where near here!
Central Ohio Predictions:First Frost Prediction: September 31 Actual: September 42First Freeze Prediction: October 12 Actual: October 11 (?*)First Trace Prediction: November 19First Accumulation Prediction: November 25First Accumulation 4+ Prediction: December 30
*May have been earlier; I wasn’t really keeping track.
Olive Branch, MS:
First Frost – Prediction: November 1st. Actual: October 28th
First Freeze – Prediction: November 6th. Actual:
First Trace – Prediction: November 26th. Actual:
First Accumulation – Prediction: December 15th. Actual:
First Snowstorm 1+ – Prediction: January 3rd. Actual:
I was pretty close on mine. I’m under a Frost Advisory right now. If there is one tomorrow, it would be out third day in a row. And I think Memphis had a frost only this morning, so I beat them by one day haha