How accurate is the Accuweather.com month forecast and what do they base it on?
I have very little idea how forecast are made. I understand jet streams, la ninas, el ninos, and various other weather terms. I also understand that weather “guessing” is an inexact science. However, I’ve just found accuweather’s long term forecast and I’ve always been fascinated, for what ever reason, by long, long term forecasts (hence why I love farmers almanac). I haven’t been able to test their forecasts yet, but I like some of the things I’m seeing. They’re showing some serious cold with a snow flurry chance for my area (Maine) by mid october, but then saying it’ll be in the 60s around Halloween.
What is this based on or is it pure guessing? From my time in North Carolina I learned not to trust a weather forecast, ever.