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Balancing the Books?

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Balancing the Books?

Although we’re the Farmers’ Almanac, it can be hard to have a sense of what the overall weather conditions are actually like during a given year. Things can seem one way in the Northeast, where most of our staff members live, and be completely different in Texas or California. If there’s one thing your comments on our articles, forecasts, blogs, and social media posts have made clear, though, it’s that the spring of 2013 has been a wet one nearly everywhere. Though summer won’t officially begin for another week, many of you are already beginning to wonder when to expect more seasonal weather to appear.

This year’s wet, chilly conditions provide a stark contrast to last summer’s hot, dry streak, which continued a trend of debilitating droughts that had begun during the previous year. Many of you are wondering if we predicted this, and if so, what we’re forecasting for the rest of the season.

We expect things to dry up somewhat in the Northeast and along the West Coast as summer gets fully under way during the coming weeks, but for the season to remain wet throughout much of the rest of the country.

This year’s wet weather should offer some respite to those in the South Central region of the U.S. who were punished by heat and drought over the last two summers. Farmers’ Almanac forecaster Caleb Weatherbee often refers to this phenomenon of an extremely wet year following on the heels of an extremely dry one as Mother Nature “balancing her checkbook.” We may not like the extremes, but when counterweighted against one another these dueling weather systems create a kind of equilibrium. Though it can be hard to remember when we’re in the thick of it, there really is no such thing as an average year, only lots of varying patterns that come together to paint a picture of our weather.

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So what are you seeing, weather-wise, in your area? Are you optimistic that this summer will bring the kind of weather you want to see?

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1 Susan B { 06.20.13 at 1:23 pm }

Here in WI, just when we think winter has ended (what spring?), we get a cold blast. Just this week we had a low of 45 degrees. That’s a big change from last year’s warm spring. We’re expecting ’80s this week with chances of t-storms. Going from winter to summer is not unusual; having lived here all of my life, I’ll never get used to winter (including the extremes of pre-winter, aka “fall,” and post-winter, aka “spring.”) When it’s nice though, it’s really nice, and I enjoy experiencing the drama of all four seasons.

2 sidney { 06.15.13 at 11:14 am }

In southern California, it has been 100+ at least twice since late May. We received a little rain and no snow in the high deserts. The mountains received some snow. We are expecting a long, dry summer. I don’t want to think about August, which is typically our hottest month.

3 Denise { 06.13.13 at 5:54 pm }

Its been a very wet and chilly spring in central Virginia. We surely had a winter this year and it just refused to end in much of the US. Our 2013 rainfall has been significantly above normal with almost 200% of normal precipitation. As we got into May though, temperatures went up but it did stay plenty wet. Then just recently Andrea brought flooding rains. My prediction is we will have an active storm track in the eastern United States with some major heat waves in late June into July as summer comes into full swing. Even if it does dry up we’ve had so much rain it wouldnt make a difference! We have already been in the 90s several days this June. I do expect a hot summer but plenty of hit or miss thunderstorms in the afternoons and evenings with the very high humidity. Of course, there is no escaping the heat & humidity in the Mid-Atlantic and Southeast. Although it does seem springs have become non-existant. Its like we’ve gone from winter to summer the past several years.

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