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Fall Forecast: Warm Up or Cool Down?

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Fall Forecast: Warm Up or Cool Down?

Goodbye Summer! After what has been turning out to be an extreme-weather ending to the summer season—we’ve experienced everything from severe hurricanes to droughts to oppressive heat—many people are looking forward to fall, which officially arrives on Friday, September 22, at 4:02 p.m. EDT. Will the new season usher in cooler, quieter conditions?

Looking for the Canadian fall forecast? See page 2

We’re predicting above-normal temperatures for autumn from coast-to-coast. Precipitation-wise, our long-range forecast predicts near-normal amounts for much of the nation; the exceptions are Texas and the deep South, which will see wetter-than-normal conditions.

Fall Foliage
Now that the days are growing shorter, the leaves are starting to change color. Our readers often ask if the weather has any effect on fall foliage, and while the amount of daylight is what signals the leaves to change, weather does play a role in the intensity and vibrancy of colors. “Drought is the enemy of a good fall,” says biology professor Howard Neufeld of Appalachian State University. “The trees have to be in a healthy state, not water stressed, heading into the season.”

(Continued Below)

Read more about how leaves transition to their fall colors.

And we all know a good wind storm can take the leaves down prematurely. We’re forecasting that during the timeframe of October 8-11, a strong disturbance off the Atlantic Coast will bring heavy rain with gale-force winds to the New England coast, which may ____ leaf peeping in that region.

See peak foliage dates for your state here.

More Hurricanes?
According to the Farmers’ Almanac, there is another possibility of a tropical storm or hurricane during the last week of September along the Atlantic Coast.

Halloween – Weather Tricks or Treats?
The weather should cooperate for trick-or-treaters this year as a spell of fair and tranquil weather is on tap for much of the country, except for those out west, where stormy and colder conditions are forecasted for California, Washington, Oregon, and the Rockies. Maybe assemble a costume that incorporates an umbrella, such as Mary Poppins, Jiminy Cricket, or the Morton™ Salt Girl, to stay dry.

Will Your Thanksgiving Be A Turkey?
It may very well rain on your parade – the Macy’s Thanksgiving Day parade, that is, as conditions for Thanksgiving look wet and soggy for much of the country, with rain mixed with wet snow in the forecast for the hilly terrain of New England; cold rain in the Southeast, the Ohio Valley & Great Lakes, as well as in the Northwest. But for those heading over the river and through the woods to grandmother’s house in the North Central and South Central regions, you can count on chilly but clear conditions. Looking farther out, our forecasts do show conditions turing unsettled from coast to coast by late November into December.

Will Snow Fall In Fall?
Before winter officially arrives, many parts of the country may see some wintry-like conditions. We’re forecasting a smattering of snow flurries for New England and the Great Lakes throughout November and early December, with a snowstorm with significant accumulations for December 12th-15th spreading to the Great Lakes region.

Montana, which has already seen snow earlier this month, may see some more wet snowflakes by the end of September and early October. The Northern/Central Rockies may see some heavy snows (up to one foot) from November 24th through the end of the month. Late November snows are also on tap for for parts of New Mexico, West Texas, higher terrain of New Mexico, Northern Texas, Oklahoma, and much of Arkansas.

See our long-range weather for your region forecast here.

See the Canadian forecast on the next page

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1 DARLENE BORDELON { 09.26.17 at 10:01 am }


2 Leafpeeper { 09.22.17 at 9:21 pm }

Snowfall in Fall! First day of Autumn in California and the weather is fine…and confused! We’ve got autumn change just beginning, and snow in case you want to skip straight to winter. What’s 2017’s first official fall afternoon look like in your neck of the woods?

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