Hurricane season has been underway since June 1st, and reaches its traditional peak this month. Tropical storm activity tends to increase beginning in mid-August, typically peaking on or around September 10th. The season ends each year on November 30th.
This year, the Farmers’ Almanac predicted an active tropical storm season. We warned that an early threat could materialize during the first week of June over the Gulf of Mexico, and of a few potential threats in mid-to-late August. Another hurricane threat was predicted along the East Coast during the first week of September. Finally, we said a very late-season tropical cyclone may adversely influence the weather around Florida and the Bahamas during mid-November.
So far this year, there have only been six named Atlantic storms, none of which have turned into full-blown hurricanes. There were two tropical storms — Andrea and Barry — in the Caribbean in early June, around the time of our predicted storm, as well as a few storms in August, also near the time of our predictions. Fortunately, none of these storms materialized into a major threat here in the U.S.
Overall, the first half of hurricane season has been relatively tame. Here’s hoping the rest of the season follows suit!
Since 1953, weather forecasters have had a tradition of naming every tropical storm and hurricane. Each year, forecasters use one of six set lists that alternate between male and female names, listed alphabetically and in chronological order starting with A and omitting Q and U, X, Y, and Z. Every six years, the names cycle back around and get reused. If a hurricane does tremendous damage (i.e. Andrew, Camille, Katrina), the name is retired and replaced with a different name beginning with the same letter.
The list for this year is: Andrea, Barry, Chantal, Dorian, Erin, Fernand, Gabrielle, Humberto, Ingrid, Jerry, Karen, Lorenzo, Melissa, Nestor, Olga, Pablo, Rebekah, Sebastien, Tanya, Van, and Wendy.