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A “Downturn” In Temps? Read Our 2019 Fall Forecast


We’ recently released our 2020 winter weather forecast, but you may be wondering, “what’s in store for fall?” The new season officially starts on Monday, September 23, 2019, at 3:50 a.m. EDT with the arrival of the Autumnal Equinox.  It’s the most popular season, it seems, full of crisp apples, pumpkins, colorful leaves, and cooler temps, which make for excellent sleeping! So will this fall deliver? Here’s what we’re predicting.


2019 Fall Forecast Overview

Our 2019 edition (page 67) indicates “a shot of widespread, unseasonably chilly weather is expected by the end of August leading into September. And from there on through the end of the year, it appears we will see a rapid downturn in temperatures. This looks to be especially true in November, which also tends to be unusually settled. Thanksgiving time could be stormy, particularly for the Northeast.”

Farmers' Almanac 2019 US Fall Outlook map

2019 US Fall Overview Map

Fall Foliage

Have you seen the leaves starting to change color where you live? We’ve all been gradually losing daylight, which is Mother Nature’s cue to begin the process. Weather does play a role in the intensity and vibrancy of fall foliage colors. “Drought is the enemy of a good fall,” says biology professor Howard Neufeld of Appalachian State University in North Carolina. “The trees have to be in a healthy state, not water-stressed, heading into the season.”

So if you’ve had drought conditions, it may affect the vibrancy of colors. You can check the current drought map to see if your area is experiencing drought.

United States Drought Map
Canadian Drought Map

fall foliage destinations

See peak foliage dates for your state here.

Halloween Weather—Tricks or Treats?

We’re predicting the weather will cooperate for most trick-or-treaters in all our weather zones, although New England goblins are in for unsettled weather, and stormy conditions might make costumes a challenge in the Northwest. We’re anticipating gusty winds on Halloween for North Central and South Central states.

Halloween weather forecast - image of a ghost decoration next to a house

Will Your Thanksgiving Be A Turkey?

It may just rain on your parade if you live in the east—the Macy’s Thanksgiving Day parade, that is—as winds and rain are expected. In fact, it looks wet and soggy for much of the country with rain and/or wet snow forecast for all zones, except the Southwest (Zone 7). So if you’re traveling over the river and through the woods to grandmother’s house, be sure to pack the rain gear!

Will The Snow Fall In Fall?

Before winter officially arrives on December 21st, many parts of the country may see some wintry-like conditions. In fact, our predictions for November include a lot of rain/snow mixes for Zones 1-6, but some snowy conditions could hit the Rockies and parts of New Mexico as early as mid-October!

What About Hurricanes?

As far as tropical cyclones are concerned, it appears that the Southeast U.S. will be exclusively in the crosshairs. A hurricane threat could evolve in mid-September and mid-October.

For a more detailed weather outlook for 2019, be sure to check out your zone in our long-range weather planner online here.

See the Canadian fall forecast on the next page >

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If you notice a hole in the upper left-hand corner of your Farmers' Almanac, don't return it to the store! That hole isn't a defect; it's a part of history. Starting with the first edition of the Farmers' Almanac in 1818, readers used to nail holes into the corners to hang it up in their homes, barns, and outhouses (to provide both reading material and toilet paper). In 1919, the Almanac's publishers began pre-drilling holes in the corners to make it even easier for readers to keep all of that invaluable information (and paper) handy.

Reading Farmers' Almanac on Tablet with Doggie

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