Farmers’ Almanac 2025 Summer Forecast: A Recap of What Was Predicted and What Happened
Quick Reference: 2025 Summer Forecast Recap
- Forecast issued: March 2025.
- Headline: a ‘sizzle, sweat, swat’ summer with major regional contrasts.
- Hottest regions: Southwest, Plains, Lower Midwest.
- Stormiest regions: Northeast, Gulf Coast, Mid-Atlantic.
- Drier than normal: Pacific Northwest and Northern Plains.
- Self-tracked accuracy: 80% on regional temperature, 75% on precipitation patterns.
The Farmers’ Almanac 2025 summer forecast, issued in March 2025, predicted a hot, stormy season with strong regional contrasts: a ‘sizzle, sweat, swat’ summer. Here is a recap of what the Almanac called, how it performed against the actual June-August 2025 weather, and what the formula suggested for the 2026 outlook.
What the Almanac Predicted
The 2025 summer forecast described the season as ‘sizzle, sweat, swat,’ with major heat in the southern half of the country and frequent thunderstorms across the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic. Regional highlights:
- Northeast: warm and stormy with frequent severe weather days.
- Mid-Atlantic: hot with above-normal humidity. Significant thunderstorm activity.
- Southeast: hot and humid, with above-average tropical activity.
- Lower Midwest: very hot with extended dry spells.
- Upper Midwest: warm and stormy.
- Southwest: exceptionally hot and dry.
- Northern Plains: warm and drier than average.
- Pacific Northwest: warm and drier than average.
How the Forecast Performed
The 2025 summer largely matched the Almanac’s prediction. The Southwest and Lower Midwest experienced exceptional heat, with multiple major cities setting all-time high temperature records. The Northeast and Mid-Atlantic saw frequent severe thunderstorm activity, including several derecho events.
The forecast missed on the Pacific Northwest, where wetter-than-predicted conditions held through July. The Almanac’s own tracking gave the 2025 summer forecast 80% accuracy on temperature, 75% on precipitation.
What This Suggests for 2026
The Almanac’s 2026 summer forecast, issued March 2026, called for another hot and stormy summer with similar regional patterns. The current long-range outlook is available on the Almanac’s long-range weather forecast page.
Frequently Asked Questions
How accurate is the Almanac’s summer forecast?
The Almanac tracks itself at 80-85% accuracy on regional outlooks. The 2025 summer forecast hit 80% on temperature, 75% on precipitation.
When was the 2025 summer forecast published?
March 2025. The print edition’s full summer outlook arrived on newsstands in late March.
Did the 2025 summer set heat records?
Yes. Multiple southwestern and lower-Midwest cities set all-time high-temperature records during June and July 2025.
Where can I see the 2026 summer forecast?
The Almanac’s long-range weather forecast page lists the current full-summer outlook. The print Almanac updates each March.
This article was published by the Staff at FarmersAlmanac.com. Any questions? Contact us at [email protected].
- Farmers' Almanac Staff
- Farmers' Almanac Staff
- Farmers' Almanac Staff
- Farmers' Almanac Staff
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