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How Does The Almanac Predict The Weather?

Each and every year since 1818, the Farmers’ Almanac has been offering long-range weather predictions that are amazingly accurate. But have you ever wondered how these forecasts are made?

In this day and age when weather is found at the click of a button, the Farmers’ Almanac continues to offer a longer range weather forecast than any other source available. In each edition of the printed Farmers’ Almanac, there are 16 months of weather predictions for the continental United States, as well as a version for our Canadian friends, with weather forecasts for most Canadian provinces.

Plan Your Day. Grow Your Life

People find the Almanac’s long-range forecast especially useful when planning their days ahead, especially when budgeting for heating bills, planning vacations, special events, weddings, and much more. Many businesses consult the Farmers’ Almanac’s outlook for their planning as well. And what’s really amazing is that these weather predictions are quite accurate.

How Are The Predictions Made?

The editors of the Farmers’ Almanac firmly deny using any type of computer satellite tracking equipment, weather lore, or groundhogs. What they will admit to is using a specific and reliable set of rules that were developed back in 1818 by David Young, the Almanac’s first editor. These rules have been altered slightly and turned into a formula that is both mathematical and astronomical. The formula takes into consideration things like sunspot activity, tidal action of the Moon, the position of the planets, and a variety of other factors. The only person who knows the exact formula is the Farmers’ Almanac weather prognosticator who goes by the pseudonym of Caleb Weatherbee. To protect this proprietary and reliable formula, the editors of the Farmers’ Almanac prefer to keep both Caleb’s true identity and the formula a closely guarded brand secret.

While some may question how a publication that started over 200 years ago can make such accurate weather forecasts, the Farmers’ Almanac editors like to remind everyone that this formula has been time-tested, challenged, and approved for nearly two centuries. The Farmers’ Almanac is the oldest source of consecutively published weather forecasts, even longer than the National Weather Service.

Unlike your local news, government, or commercial weather service, the Almanac’s forecasts are calculated several years in advance. Once the new edition is printed, the editors never go back to change or update its forecasts the way other local sources do.

Though weather forecasting, and long-range forecasting, in particular, remains an inexact science, many longtime Almanac followers claim that our forecasts are 80% to 85% accurate. Check out our On the Money page to see some of the very accurate weather events predicted by the Farmers’ Almanac.

Test the forecasts for yourself!

Find out what weather outlook is for this winter, spring, summer, and fall ahead. It’s all in the new edition of the Farmers’ Almanac, shipping now!

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wilson wright jr

best time to transplant apple trees in central alabama

Susan Higgins

Hi Wilson, you can check our gardening calendar here that gives recommended planting dates. But keep in mind, our formula is based on phases of the Moon, and is “weather permitting” so it’s good across all growing zones.

paul braga

Susan Higgins, this is my first foray into the world of planting by the moon or signs. which products/service do i buy as a beginner? total beginner. is there a difference between the gardening calendar and the Almanac. there is a very specific problem for me as a beginner – i live in the Philippines, so the question is if i can get a DIGITAL EDITION of your almanac or calendar for use here…

Susan Higgins

Hi Paul, yes, you can buy a digital copy of the Almanac here. Or you can just subscribe to our website and you’ll get the same proprietary information online – Click here to subscribe. As for getting started, 1. first decide what you want to grow. 2. Start your seeds either indoors or directly outside (you can use this chart to determine if they should be started inside or outside). The Almanac is helpful in determining when seeds go in the ground, harvesting dates, and more.

Paula

Best time to plant Tomatoes in Texas hill country

Jason

Yeah, nope

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