Lewiston, ME: After accurately predicting a teeth-chatteringly cold winter and a chilly, wet spring in many regions of the country, the Farmers’ Almanac is releasing its forecast for summer 2019. And according to the Almanac’s 202-year-old weather formula, summer overall should see near-normal, summer temperatures across much of the nation—but there will be exceptions. The central and southwestern states are on tap for a very hot summer, especially in California, Nevada, Utah, and Arizona.
Muggy & Wet
Above-normal summertime precipitation for areas east of the Mississippi River is also making this summer forecast interesting. “Much of our summer forecast predicts lots of rain, thunderstorms, and wetness during July and August in the Northeast and New England areas” shares Pete Geiger, Philom., Editor, adding “the increased clouds and showers will likely keep temperatures below the dozen or so 90 degree days that might otherwise occur. However, you should count on days with temps well up into the ’80s. Add to that the above-normal precipitation, and you’ve got oppressively humid and uncomfortable conditions.”
What’s summer without thunderstorms? In late June, the north and south central states should expect a bout of dangerous weather with the potential to spawn thunderstorms capable of producing large hail, damaging straight-line winds, and even a devastating tornado threat. Meanwhile, oppressively high humidity paired with frequent thunderstorms will be the rule for the Carolinas, Georgia, and Florida during July.
For the Great Lakes, Ohio Valley & Midwest, the Farmers’ Almanac predicts the heat and humidity to build in June, and that July will be a stormy, warm month. And while near-to-below normal precipitation is forecast west of the Mississippi, a stormy summer is on tap for this region overall. Some bouts of severe weather may rumble through in late July. Some of the storms, especially for parts of Michigan, are capable of producing large hail.
Where Will Summer Be Dry?
It looks like the Pacific Northwest can expect a drier-than-usual summer, despite the fact that the first days of the new season start off with some showery weather. As far as temperatures are concerned, this zone can expect pleasant and fair conditions all the way through to August.
2019 Hurricane Outlook
As far as tropical cyclones are concerned, it appears that the southeast U.S. will be exclusively in the crosshairs. Officially, hurricane season does not get underway until June 1st, but the Almanac is predicting an early season tropical disturbance to threaten in the mid-to-latter part of May. A tropical storm could again pose a threat in mid-June, and following a lull in July and August, a hurricane threat could evolve in mid-September and mid-October.
Will it rain on the 4th of July? To see what we’re predicting, check out our detailed weather forecast for all of our zones here.